Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000958 1.096635e-03 0.001236 0.001386 0.001542 0.001699 0.001869
2026-02-08 0.000754 9.541558e-04 0.001162 0.001391 0.001635 0.001886 0.002161
2026-02-15 0.000601 8.468395e-04 0.001110 0.001407 0.001729 0.002065 0.002438
2026-02-22 0.000485 7.651142e-04 0.001075 0.001434 0.001828 0.002244 0.002711
2026-03-01 0.000366 6.677353e-04 0.001014 0.001424 0.001882 0.002371 0.002923
2026-03-08 0.000256 5.654260e-04 0.000939 0.001391 0.001905 0.002459 0.003091
2026-03-15 0.000187 5.051261e-04 0.000906 0.001402 0.001973 0.002593 0.003305
2026-03-22 0.000122 4.387571e-04 0.000860 0.001393 0.002015 0.002697 0.003482
2026-03-29 0.000083 3.997212e-04 0.000844 0.001417 0.002092 0.002836 0.003697
2026-04-05 0.000042 3.462880e-04 0.000805 0.001410 0.002131 0.002930 0.003860
2026-04-12 0.000009 2.831399e-04 0.000747 0.001376 0.002136 0.002984 0.003976
2026-04-19 NaN 2.194984e-04 0.000681 0.001328 0.002122 0.003015 0.004065
2026-04-26 NaN 1.597521e-04 0.000624 0.001305 0.002154 0.003118 0.004257
2026-05-03 NaN 1.181759e-04 0.000589 0.001308 0.002218 0.003259 0.004495
2026-05-10 NaN 8.605744e-05 0.000563 0.001323 0.002295 0.003415 0.004749
2026-05-17 NaN 6.233898e-05 0.000547 0.001348 0.002385 0.003586 0.005020
2026-05-24 NaN 3.291647e-05 0.000507 0.001338 0.002430 0.003703 0.005230
2026-05-31 NaN 7.898836e-06 0.000454 0.001305 0.002445 0.003783 0.005396
2026-06-07 NaN 2.196574e-07 0.000433 0.001316 0.002512 0.003924 0.005629
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000400 0.001308 0.002554 0.004032 0.005825
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000389 0.001331 0.002634 0.004187 0.006072
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000361 0.001323 0.002675 0.004292 0.006262
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.000318 0.001290 0.002680 0.004354 0.006401